Boris ‘ Mayor of London’ Johnson according to yesterday’s Independent is the favourite amongst grass root Tories to succeed Cameron.
George Osborne gets 2%. This is such a fall from grace for the man that was regarded as the Prime Minister in waiting. A reflection that even Tory members don’t think he now cuts the mustard.
But, perhaps, of greater worry to the PM is the fact that less than half of the members want him to lead them into the general election. Indeed they don’t rate the party’s chances of retaining power after the next election.
Now when party activists don’t think their party will win, it’s sure sign that the party is in serious difficulties.
And little wonder.
The economic strategy of the government is looking very threadbare. There is little sign of recovery. Indeed, the opposite, the economy continues in a downward spiral.
Ed Miliband is beginning to gain in confidence and is often getting under Cameron’s skin in their weekly exchanges at the Commons. The coalition is looking increasingly fragile with many Tory backbenchers working for its demise.
Unless the economy recovers, and there is no sign of that happening, the Prime Minister looks increasingly vulnerable.
Unlike Labour, the Conservatives have a ruthless streak. They’ll not hesitate to put the knife in. There is no way that they’ll not deal with a leader that’s leading them to defeat.
Many saw what happened to Labour when the party prevaricated and failed to remove Gordon Brown. Election defeat. The Tories won’t let this happen to them.
It must be some comfort to Cameron that Boris’s not in the Commons and his term of Office runs until after the next general election.
But in politics obstacles can be removed. So who knows Boris may yet again return to the Commons.