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Regional List: explained

Many have asked me to explain how the regional top up works for the National Assembly. So below. I’ve tried to explain it. 

This will be my last blog for  a week or so, as I’m off on holidays!



Regions and Voting

There are five regions, each electing four regional AMs. This gives an additional 20 regional seats to top the 40 elected on the first past the post system based on constituencies.

A quota system invented by Belgian mathematician and lawyer Victor d’Hondt (1841 – 1901) is used for deciding the 20 regional seats.  Thus proving that there is more to Belgium than beer, chocolates and Tin Tin. 

Now back to the sums. It’s all worked out on the total number of regional votes received by a party or independent candidate. These are then divided by the number of constituency seats already gained in the region +1. No, this not bad typing on my part the plus 1 is an essential part of the calculation.

Should you be a ‘billy no mates’ party with no constituency seats the number of votes you received in the whole of the region is divided by one. If the party has secured one constituency seat in that region then its number of votes is divided by two, if it has two seats in that region it is divided by three, and so on. Simple, ain’t it. If you don’t understand it now then the Welsh standards of numeracy is lower than previously thought.

So, the rule is, the more constituency seats a political party wins, the harder it is to gain any additional seats through the regional list system. Now the overall allocation of seats is more proportional to the number of votes cast.

You can check it all – below.

This is how the system operated for the 2011 Assembly elections. Whether it is the best system is a question for another day, but Lord Richards thought not. 

When asked to make a recommendation he suggested a system of Single Transferable Vote based on multi-member seats based on local authority boundaries. So that all  Assembly Members would then be chosen in the same way.

North Wales Regional List

Labour

5 Const. AMs  +1

Conservative

2 Const. AMs

+1

Plaid Cymru

2 Const. AMs +1

Lib.Democrat

0 Const. AMs

+1

UKIP

0 Const. AMs +1

62,677/6

52,201/3

41,701/3

11,507/1

9,601/1

10,446

17,400   AM

13,900

11,507

9,601

10,466

13,050

13,900   AM

11,507

9,601

10,466

13,050   AM

10,425

11,507

9,601

10,466

10,440

10,425

11,507 AM

9,601

Mark Isherwood

Conservative

Antoinette Sandbach

Conservative

Llyr Huws Gruffydd

Plaid Cymru

Aled Roberts

Liberal Democrat

Party

Votes

Percentage

Conservative

52,201

26.8

Plaid Cymru

41,701

21.4

Liberal Democrat

11,507

5.9

Labour

62,677

32.2

UKIP

9,608

4.9

Socialist Labour Party

4,895

2.5

BNP

4,785

2.5

Green

4,406

2.3

Welsh Christian Party

1,401

0.7

Independent – Weyman

1,094

0.6

Communist Party of Britain

523

0.3

South Wales West Regional List

Labour

7 Const. AMs  +1

Conservative

0 Const. AMs

+1

Plaid Cymru

0 Const. AMs +1

Lib.Democrat

0 Const. AMs

+1

UKIP

0 Const. AMs +1

71,766/8

27,457/1

21,258/1

10,683/1

6619/1

8,970

27,457   AM

21,258

10,683

6619

8,970

13,728

21,258 AM

10,683

6619

8,970

13,728 AM

10,629

10,683

6619

8,970

  9,152

10,629

10,683 AM

6619














Suzy Davies

Conservative

Byron Davies

Conservative

Bethan Jenkins

Plaid Cymru

Peter Black

Liberal Democrat

Party

Votes

Percentage

Conservative

27,457

17.8

Plaid Cymru

21,258

13.8

Liberal Democrat

10,683

6.9

Labour

71,766

46.9

UKIP

6,619

4.3

Socialist Labour Party

5,057

3.3

BNP

4,714

3.1

Green

3,952

2.6

Welsh Christian Party

1,602

1.0

Trade Unionist & Socialist against cuts

809

0.5

Communist Party of Britain

464

0.3

South Wales East Regional List

Labour

7 Const. AMs  +1

Conservative

1 Const. AMs

+1

Plaid Cymru

0 Const. AMs +1

Lib.Democrat

0 Const. AMs

+1

UKIP

0 Const. AMs +1

82,699/8

35,459/2

21,850/1

10,798/1

9,526/1

8,970

17,729  

21,258   AM

10,798

9,526

8,970

17,729   AM

10,925

10,798

9,526

8,970

11,819  AM

10,925

10,798

9,526

8,970

  8,864

10,925  AM

10,798

9,526














William Graham

Conservative

Antoinette Sandbach

Conservative

Jocelyn Davies

Plaid Cymru

Lindsay Whittle

Plaid Cymru


Party

Votes

Percentage

Conservative

35,459

19.6

Plaid Cymru

21,850

12.1

Labour

82,699

45.7

Liberal Democrat

10,798

6

UKIP

9,526

5.3

BNP

6,485

3.6

Green

4,857

2.7

Socialist Labour Party

4,427

2.4

Welsh Christian Party

1,904

1.3

English Democrats

1,904

1.1

Communist Party of Britain

578

0.3

South Wales Central Regional List

Labour

8 Const. AMs  +1

Conservative

0 Const. AMs

+1

Plaid Cymru

0 Const. AMs +1

Lib.Democrat

0 Const. AMs

+1

Green

0 Const. AMs +1

22,013/9

9.780/1

6,169/1

4,468/1

2,583/1

2,445

9.780     AM

6,169

4,468

2,583

2,445

4,890  

6,169    AM

4,468

2,583

2,445

4,890   AM

3,084

4,468

2,583

2,445

3,260

3,084

4,468  AM

2,583














Andrew RT Davies

Conservative

David Melding

Conservative

Leanne Wood

Plaid Cymru

John Dixon

Liberal Democrat


Party

Votes

Percentage

Labour

22,013

43.1

Conservative

9,780

19.2

Plaid Cymru

6,169

12.1

Liberal Democrat

4,468

 8.8

Green

2,583

 5.1

UKIP

2,465

 4.8

Socialist Labour Party

1,230

 2.4

BNP

1,098

 2.2

Communist Party of Britain

   522

 1.0

Monster Raving Loony Party

   357

 0.7

Trade Unionist & Socialist against cuts

   219

 0.4

Welsh Christian Party

  156

 0.3

Mid and West Wales Regional List

Labour

1 Const. AMs  +1

Conservative

3 Const. AMs

+1

Plaid Cymru

3 Const. AMs +1

Lib.Democrat

1 Const. AMs

+1

UKIP

0 Const. AMs +1

47,348/2

52,905/4

56,384/4

26,847/2

9,711/1

23,674  AM

13,226

14,096

13,423

9,711

15,782  AM

13,226

14,096

13,423

9,711

11,837

13,226

14,096   AM

13,423

9,711

11,837

13,226

11,276

13,423 AM

9,711

Elizabeth Joyce Watson

Labour

Rebecca Mary Evans

Labour

Simon Thomas

Plaid Cymru

William Powell

Liberal Democrat


Party

Votes

Percentage

Labour

47,348

22.5

Plaid Cymru

56,384

26.7

Liberal Democrat

26,847

12.7

Conservative

52,905

25.1

UKIP

 9,711

 4.6

Green

8,660

 4.1

Socialist Labour Party

3,951

 1.9

BNP

2,821

 1.3

Communist Party of Britain

1,630

 0.8

Welsh Christian Party

  595

 0.3

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One Response to “Regional List: explained”

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